Heartfire Hero

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Red Deck Wins luffydochapeudepalha 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765769
Gruul Aggro mogged 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769892
Gruul Aggro mogged 8-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765784
Rakdos Aggro stalonge 7-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769901
Red Deck Wins numberonenoob 8-2 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769907
Red Deck Wins kablewire 8-2 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769892
Rakdos Aggro bunnyfat 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765740
Red Deck Wins latorretta 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769073
Gruul Aggro mogged 7-1 None
Gruul Leyline platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-1.0%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
79.2%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+2.7%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
145
decks
Tournament Results
55
1st place
82
top 8
Average Copies
4.0
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Heartfire Hero ranks #63 out of approximately 405 cards in raw efficiency (top 16%).

Game Impact Factor
76.18
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+10.29%

Red average: 63.1%

Performance compared to other Red cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Heartfire Hero is a solid card that performs above average in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 3

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
74.0
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.97x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 41.83 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 76.2%. Heartfire Hero has a win rate of 74.0%, making it 2.9% worse than other 1-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Flowstone Infusion Instant 5 100.0% 5
Loran of the Third Path Legendary Creature — Human Artificer 6 83.3% 6
Heritage Reclamation Instant 12 80.9% 6
Surrak, Elusive Hunter Legendary Creature — Human Warrior 5 77.4% 2
Wild Ride Sorcery 7 75.0% 4
Furnace Reins Sorcery 33 74.3% 17
Hearth Elemental Creature — Elemental // Sorcery — Adventure 10 72.4% 3
Leyline of the Void Enchantment 73 71.4% 16
Break the Spell Instant 16 70.1% 10
Tersa Lightshatter Legendary Creature — Orc Wizard 55 69.8% 17

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Heartfire Hero than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Soul-Guide Lantern Artifact 1 5 86.4% 73.4% +13.0%
Wild Ride Sorcery 1 7 86.1% 80.0% +6.1%
Heritage Reclamation Instant 2 12 78.9% 74.2% +4.8%
Obstinate Baloth Creature — Beast 4 11 78.3% 74.7% +3.7%
Furnace Reins Sorcery 3 8 80.0% 77.0% +3.0%
Monastery Swiftspear Creature — Human Monk 1 50 78.7% 76.7% +2.0%
Might of the Meek Instant 1 31 77.7% 75.8% +1.8%
Turn Inside Out Instant 1 32 77.7% 75.8% +1.8%
Questing Druid Creature — Human Druid // Instant — Adventure 2 42 77.4% 75.6% +1.8%
Pyroclasm Sorcery 2 53 77.6% 76.0% +1.6%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Gruul Aggro 2055 98.9% 47.5%
Red Deck Wins 1326 96.3% 53.5%
Boros Burn 250 63.8% 51.9%
Gruul Leyline 189 100.0% 57.3%
Boros Auras 66 100.0% 56.9%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.