Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | darth_vaner | 8-2 | 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 64 #12769053 |
| Jeskai Oculus | platinum-mythic rank player | 6-0 | 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025 |
| Sultai Roots | platinum-mythic rank player | 6-0 | 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025 |
| Jeskai Oculus | phoenix_flame | 7-2 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | thief_of_crowns | 6-2 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | sixmp | 6-3 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | thief_of_crowns | 6-3 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Meta Performance Analysis
Winternight Stories ranks #252 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 62%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Blue average: 72.0%
Performance compared to other Blue cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Winternight Stories is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 14.96 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 3 mana, the average win rate in the format is 74.2%. Winternight Stories has a win rate of 76.5%, making it 3.1% better than other 3-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spyglass Siren | Creature — Siren Pirate | 10 | 82.1% | 5 |
| Tishana's Tidebinder | Creature — Merfolk Wizard | 8 | 81.6% | 4 |
| Sheltered by Ghosts | Enchantment — Aura | 35 | 79.0% | 17 |
| Into the Flood Maw | Instant | 7 | 78.9% | 3 |
| Negate | Instant | 41 | 77.3% | 19 |
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 39 | 76.9% | 14 |
| Glacial Dragonhunt | Sorcery | 40 | 75.7% | 17 |
| Tersa Lightshatter | Legendary Creature — Orc Wizard | 40 | 75.6% | 16 |
| Destroy Evil | Instant | 44 | 75.4% | 18 |
| Helping Hand | Sorcery | 44 | 75.4% | 18 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Winternight Stories than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spyglass Siren | Creature — Siren Pirate | 1 | 10 | 80.7% | 74.8% | +5.9% |
| Tishana's Tidebinder | Creature — Merfolk Wizard | 3 | 8 | 79.5% | 74.7% | +4.8% |
| Sheltered by Ghosts | Enchantment — Aura | 2 | 35 | 79.7% | 77.1% | +2.7% |
| Negate | Instant | 2 | 41 | 78.1% | 75.7% | +2.4% |
| Glacial Dragonhunt | Sorcery | 2 | 40 | 76.6% | 75.2% | +1.4% |
| Destroy Evil | Instant | 2 | 44 | 76.1% | 75.0% | +1.0% |
| Tersa Lightshatter | Legendary Creature — Orc Wizard | 3 | 40 | 76.4% | 75.7% | +0.8% |
| Abhorrent Oculus | Creature — Eye | 3 | 44 | 76.1% | 75.6% | +0.4% |
| Helping Hand | Sorcery | 1 | 44 | 76.1% | 75.9% | +0.2% |
| Steamcore Scholar | Creature — Weird Detective | 3 | 45 | 75.9% | 75.8% | +0.2% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | 44 | 15.0% | 75.4% |
| Sultai Roots | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Unknown Archetype | 1 | 0.3% | 71.4% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.