Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | misplacedginger | 7-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | bartosz regent | 6-2 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | giuseppe miele | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Meta Performance Analysis
Thing in the Ice ranks #1339 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 26%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Blue average: 50.3%
Performance compared to other Blue cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Thing in the Ice is a solid card that performs above average in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 2
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 4.29 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Thing in the Ice has a win rate of 57.9%, making it 21.9% better than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serum Visions | Sorcery | 5 | 67.5% | 1 |
| Rending Volley | Instant | 12 | 61.0% | 1 |
| Negate | Instant | 21 | 54.6% | 1 |
| Chandra, Torch of Defiance | Legendary Planeswalker — Chandra | 5 | 53.9% | 0 |
| Narset's Reversal | Instant | 6 | 50.0% | 0 |
| Narset, Parter of Veils | Legendary Planeswalker — Narset | 14 | 49.9% | 0 |
| Brotherhood's End | Sorcery | 16 | 48.6% | 1 |
| Izzet Charm | Instant | 14 | 47.3% | 0 |
| Anger of the Gods | Sorcery | 20 | 46.5% | 0 |
| Arclight Phoenix | Creature — Phoenix | 33 | 44.8% | 2 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Thing in the Ice than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fading Hope | Instant | 1 | 5 | 76.0% | 58.5% | +17.5% |
| Ashiok, Dream Render | Legendary Planeswalker — Ashiok | 3 | 6 | 65.2% | 56.6% | +8.6% |
| Negate | Instant | 2 | 25 | 64.0% | 57.2% | +6.8% |
| Narset's Reversal | Instant | 2 | 6 | 63.0% | 57.2% | +5.8% |
| Unlicensed Hearse | Artifact — Vehicle | 2 | 7 | 61.7% | 57.4% | +4.3% |
| Rending Volley | Instant | 1 | 14 | 62.2% | 58.5% | +3.7% |
| Picklock Prankster | Creature — Faerie Rogue // Instant — Adventure | 2 | 12 | 59.6% | 57.1% | +2.6% |
| Strangle | Sorcery | 1 | 6 | 60.0% | 57.7% | +2.3% |
| Day's Undoing | Sorcery | 3 | 5 | 57.1% | 54.9% | +2.3% |
| Ledger Shredder | Creature — Bird Advisor | 2 | 22 | 59.0% | 57.0% | +2.0% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | 57 | 5.8% | 47.9% |
| Jeskai Oculus | 2 | 0.3% | 83.3% |
| Esper Pixie | 1 | 0.1% | 50.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.