Scalding Tarn

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Dimir Control platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 21, 2025
Jeskai Oculus platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 21, 2025
Izzet Aggro platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 21, 2025
Jeskai Control rollo1993 7-2 None
Izzet Spellslingers edgarb 7-2 None

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
+9.9%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
91.2%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
0.0%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
33
decks
Tournament Results
21
1st place
26
top 8
Average Copies
2.3
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Scalding Tarn ranks #1152 out of approximately 1172 cards in raw efficiency (top 98%).

Game Impact Factor
96.42
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+6.73%

Colorless average: 80.7%

Performance compared to other Colorless cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Scalding Tarn is an underperforming card in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 1

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
87.4
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
1.00x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 68.88 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 0 mana, the average win rate in the format is 77.4%. Scalding Tarn has a win rate of 87.4%, making it 12.9% better than other 0-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Tormod's Crypt Artifact 6 100.0% 6
Monastery Swiftspear Creature — Human Monk 9 96.8% 8
Lava Dart Instant 8 96.4% 7
Soul-Scar Mage Creature — Human Wizard 8 96.4% 7
Sprite Dragon Creature — Faerie Dragon 5 94.3% 4
Remand Instant 10 92.9% 8
Prismatic Ending Sorcery 5 91.5% 3
Ponder Sorcery 10 90.0% 9
Blood Moon Enchantment 9 88.9% 9
Dragon's Rage Channeler Creature — Human Shaman 11 88.3% 10

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Scalding Tarn than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Monastery Swiftspear Creature — Human Monk 1 9 95.7% 84.2% +11.5%
Blood Moon Enchantment 3 9 100.0% 89.1% +10.9%
Spell Pierce Instant 1 9 92.9% 82.7% +10.1%
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer Legendary Creature — Monkey Pirate 1 5 100.0% 90.0% +10.0%
Ponder Sorcery 1 10 97.9% 88.6% +9.3%
Engineered Explosives Artifact 0 5 94.1% 85.8% +8.3%
Counterspell Instant 2 7 96.2% 88.2% +8.0%
Tormod's Crypt Artifact 0 6 100.0% 92.8% +7.2%
Preordain Sorcery 1 10 95.7% 89.5% +6.2%
Brainstorm Instant 1 14 93.3% 87.2% +6.1%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Izzet Spellslingers 10 5.4% 84.9%
Jeskai Oculus 6 1.8% 83.3%
Jeskai Control 4 5.9% 80.2%
Azorius Omniscience 3 0.8% 66.7%
Red Deck Wins 3 0.2% 100.0%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.