Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gruul Aggro | emiliano paoli | 10-4 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | platinum-mythic rank player | 6-0 | 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 28, 2025 |
| Izzet Prowess | yuuki fukuda | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Boros Tokens , Goblins , Gruul Aggro , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Convoke , Jeskai Oculus , Mono-Red Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Outpost Siege ranks #4165 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 81%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Outpost Siege is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 2.04 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 4 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.9%. Outpost Siege has a win rate of 55.0%, making it 14.9% better than other 4-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arc Lightning | Sorcery | 5 | 44.8% | 0 |
| Dig Through Time | Instant | 8 | 38.6% | 0 |
| Raise the Alarm | Instant | 7 | 38.6% | 1 |
| Negate | Instant | 14 | 37.8% | 1 |
| Jeskai Ascendancy | Enchantment | 9 | 36.7% | 1 |
| Disdainful Stroke | Instant | 16 | 36.5% | 1 |
| Hordeling Outburst | Sorcery | 11 | 35.2% | 1 |
| Jeskai Charm | Instant | 8 | 35.0% | 0 |
| Lightning Strike | Instant | 18 | 33.6% | 1 |
| Stoke the Flames | Instant | 18 | 33.6% | 1 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Outpost Siege than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dig Through Time | Instant | 8 | 9 | 66.7% | 54.6% | +12.1% |
| Searing Blood | Instant | 2 | 5 | 65.0% | 57.5% | +7.5% |
| Jeskai Charm | Instant | 3 | 10 | 60.8% | 54.7% | +6.1% |
| Mantis Rider | Creature — Human Monk | 3 | 9 | 61.4% | 55.8% | +5.5% |
| Negate | Instant | 2 | 11 | 58.1% | 55.7% | +2.4% |
| Disdainful Stroke | Instant | 2 | 16 | 58.0% | 55.9% | +2.0% |
| Anger of the Gods | Sorcery | 3 | 8 | 56.0% | 54.1% | +1.9% |
| Goblin Heelcutter | Creature — Goblin Berserker | 4 | 6 | 57.1% | 55.6% | +1.6% |
| Stoke the Flames | Instant | 4 | 23 | 57.3% | 56.2% | +1.1% |
| Jeskai Ascendancy | Enchantment | 3 | 8 | 56.8% | 56.4% | +0.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | 18 | 2.4% | 43.8% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 9 | 2.1% | 45.7% |
| Gruul Aggro | 4 | 0.2% | 50.5% |
| Izzet Prowess | 2 | 0.2% | 37.5% |
| Jeskai Control | 2 | 0.6% | 35.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.