Optimistic Scavenger

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Esper Pixie houseofmanamtg 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765757
Esper Pixie mei0024 6-1 None
Esper Pixie johnny_hobbs 6-2 None
Esper Pixie misplacedginger 6-2 None
Esper Pixie varo 6-2 None
Esper Pixie misplacedginger 6-3 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765740

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-5.8%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
74.6%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+11.1%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
51
decks
Tournament Results
15
1st place
23
top 8
Average Copies
3.8
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Optimistic Scavenger ranks #83 out of approximately 410 cards in raw efficiency (top 20%).

Game Impact Factor
69.10
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
-5.34%

White average: 74.6%

Performance compared to other White cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Optimistic Scavenger is a solid card that performs above average in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 2

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
69.6
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.91x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 31.39 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 76.5%. Optimistic Scavenger has a win rate of 69.6%, making it 9.0% worse than other 1-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Become Brutes Sorcery 6 94.4% 5
Tectonic Hazard Sorcery 7 83.4% 4
Beza, the Bounding Spring Legendary Creature — Elemental Elk 7 80.4% 2
Thought-Stalker Warlock Creature — Lizard Warlock 5 80.0% 4
Lithomantic Barrage Sorcery 17 76.3% 12
Obstinate Baloth Creature — Beast 9 75.0% 3
Mabel, Heir to Cragflame Legendary Creature — Mouse Soldier 24 74.7% 13
Kellan, Planar Trailblazer Legendary Creature — Human Faerie Scout 31 74.7% 20
Lightning Helix Instant 74 72.0% 39
Sunspine Lynx Creature — Elemental Cat 12 68.7% 5

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Optimistic Scavenger than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Pest Control Sorcery 2 6 73.1% 68.6% +4.5%
Ghost Vacuum Artifact 1 10 74.1% 73.0% +1.1%
Duress Sorcery 1 16 72.3% 71.9% +0.4%
Rest in Peace Enchantment 2 41 69.3% 69.7% -0.3%
Loran of the Third Path Legendary Creature — Human Artificer 3 32 68.9% 69.3% -0.4%
Kaito, Bane of Nightmares Legendary Planeswalker — Kaito 4 26 70.6% 71.4% -0.7%
Entity Tracker Creature — Human Scout 3 27 70.5% 71.4% -0.9%
No More Lies Instant 2 44 69.4% 70.3% -0.9%
Sheltered by Ghosts Enchantment — Aura 2 10 73.3% 74.3% -1.0%
Stock Up Sorcery 3 35 71.8% 73.0% -1.2%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Esper Pixie 1284 81.3% 54.2%
Boros Auras 64 97.0% 55.5%
Azorius Auras 61 95.3% 36.2%
Boros Burn 32 8.0% 60.8%
Selesnya Auras 11 100.0% 32.3%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.