Nowhere to Run

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Dimir Bounce enter 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 64 #12763190
Esper Pixie kthanakit26 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769881
Esper Pixie houseofmanamtg 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765757
Esper Pixie gyrabbit47 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765778
Orzhov Pixie platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Rakdos Sacrifice platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Temur Otters platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Esper Pixie platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Unknown Archetype elvin7 7-2 None
Esper Pixie ejk 6-1 None

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-1.9%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
78.2%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+11.4%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
158
decks
Tournament Results
59
1st place
83
top 8
Average Copies
3.7
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Nowhere to Run ranks #184 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 45%).

Game Impact Factor
74.98
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
-1.96%

Black average: 74.5%

Performance compared to other Black cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Nowhere to Run is a decent card with average performance in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 1

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
36.4
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.49x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 19.13 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 74.7%. Nowhere to Run has a win rate of 72.9%, making it 2.5% worse than other 2-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Essence Scatter Instant 5 73.8% 0
Knight of Grace Creature — Human Knight 53 70.4% 27
Thought-Stalker Warlock Creature — Lizard Warlock 42 69.1% 15
Saiba Cryptomancer Creature — Moonfolk Ninja 48 68.6% 23
Cori-Steel Cutter Artifact — Equipment 6 68.2% 2
Keen-Eyed Curator Creature — Raccoon Scout 6 66.7% 2
Herbology Instructor Creature — Treefolk Druid // Creature — Phyrexian Treefolk 5 64.5% 0
Wilt-Leaf Liege Creature — Elf Knight 88 64.3% 17
Sunpearl Kirin Creature — Kirin 107 63.9% 32
Roiling Dragonstorm Enchantment 11 63.4% 2

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Nowhere to Run than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Malicious Eclipse Sorcery 3 7 77.8% 72.3% +5.4%
Cori-Steel Cutter Artifact — Equipment 2 6 80.0% 75.4% +4.6%
Spell Pierce Instant 1 25 79.1% 74.9% +4.2%
Liliana of the Veil Legendary Planeswalker — Liliana 3 11 80.2% 76.1% +4.1%
Enduring Curiosity Enchantment Creature — Cat Glimmer 4 6 75.9% 72.4% +3.5%
Sheltered by Ghosts Enchantment — Aura 2 11 78.6% 75.3% +3.3%
Tishana's Tidebinder Creature — Merfolk Wizard 3 37 76.1% 72.9% +3.2%
Thundertrap Trainer Creature — Otter Wizard 2 7 78.6% 75.6% +3.0%
Break the Spell Instant 1 12 77.4% 74.8% +2.6%
Floodpits Drowner Creature — Merfolk 2 28 75.3% 72.7% +2.6%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Esper Pixie 1561 99.9% 54.6%
Dimir Midrange 945 45.6% 42.3%
Dimir Bounce 368 74.5% 49.0%
Simic Terror 182 59.3% 43.0%
Golgari Midrange 176 22.6% 37.6%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.