Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | gigachadsigmamale | 6-3 | 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12774495 |
| Izzet Prowess | jan marc marino | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Boros Forge , Gruul Aggro , Gruul Leyline , Izzet Prowess , Mono-Red Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Hellrider ranks #4091 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 80%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Hellrider is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 1.38 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 4 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.9%. Hellrider has a win rate of 52.6%, making it 9.8% better than other 4-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalcade of Calamity | Enchantment | 6 | 61.8% | 0 |
| Balmor, Battlemage Captain | Legendary Creature — Bird Wizard | 5 | 58.6% | 0 |
| Light Up the Stage | Sorcery | 5 | 58.3% | 0 |
| Legion Loyalist | Creature — Goblin Soldier | 6 | 57.6% | 0 |
| Monastery Swiftspear | Creature — Human Monk | 9 | 50.6% | 0 |
| Esior, Wardwing Familiar | Legendary Creature — Bird | 7 | 49.6% | 0 |
| Occult Epiphany | Instant | 10 | 48.3% | 0 |
| Grim Lavamancer | Creature — Human Wizard | 7 | 47.6% | 0 |
| Bomat Courier | Artifact Creature — Construct | 13 | 47.1% | 0 |
| Electrolyze | Instant | 5 | 46.9% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Hellrider than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forbidden Friendship | Sorcery | 2 | 6 | 67.9% | 55.0% | +12.9% |
| Cavalcade of Calamity | Enchantment | 2 | 5 | 66.7% | 55.7% | +10.9% |
| Esior, Wardwing Familiar | Legendary Creature — Bird | 2 | 5 | 66.7% | 56.5% | +10.2% |
| Thermo-Alchemist | Creature — Human Shaman | 2 | 7 | 58.1% | 51.6% | +6.5% |
| Lithomantic Barrage | Sorcery | 1 | 6 | 61.3% | 54.9% | +6.4% |
| Kessig Flamebreather | Creature — Human Shaman | 2 | 8 | 59.5% | 53.6% | +5.9% |
| Occult Epiphany | Instant | 1 | 9 | 59.6% | 53.8% | +5.8% |
| Force Spike | Instant | 1 | 8 | 60.6% | 55.0% | +5.6% |
| Tetsuko Umezawa, Fugitive | Legendary Creature — Human Rogue | 2 | 9 | 61.0% | 55.4% | +5.6% |
| Young Pyromancer | Creature — Human Shaman | 2 | 9 | 59.0% | 53.7% | +5.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | 14 | 1.4% | 41.2% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 6 | 1.4% | 48.6% |
| Boros Forge | 1 | 2.3% | 50.0% |
| Gruul Aggro | 1 | 0.1% | 50.0% |
| Gruul Leyline | 1 | 0.4% | 37.5% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.