Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Azorius Omniscience , Dimir Bounce , Esper Pixie , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Oculus
Meta Performance Analysis
Hard Evidence ranks #615 out of approximately 4236 cards in raw efficiency (top 15%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Blue average: 52.7%
Performance compared to other Blue cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Hard Evidence is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.
Recommended number of copies: 3
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 5.62 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.0%. Hard Evidence has a win rate of 45.0%, making it 4.3% worse than other 1-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pact of Negation | Instant | 6 | 46.0% | 0 |
| Dovin's Veto | Instant | 8 | 45.1% | 0 |
| Archmage's Charm | Instant | 7 | 44.7% | 0 |
| Mystic Confluence | Instant | 6 | 41.2% | 0 |
| Brazen Borrower | Creature — Faerie Rogue | 6 | 41.2% | 0 |
| Valakut Awakening | Instant | 5 | 40.0% | 0 |
| The Wandering Emperor | Legendary Planeswalker | 5 | 40.0% | 0 |
| Rest in Peace | Enchantment | 6 | 39.7% | 0 |
| Narset, Parter of Veils | Legendary Planeswalker — Narset | 7 | 38.9% | 0 |
| Mystical Dispute | Instant | 12 | 38.3% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Hard Evidence than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serra's Emissary | Creature — Angel | 7 | 8 | 48.4% | 46.1% | +2.3% |
| Mystical Dispute | Instant | 3 | 8 | 48.6% | 51.1% | -2.5% |
| Lightning Bolt | Instant | 1 | 6 | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7% |
| Prismatic Ending | Sorcery | 1 | 5 | 45.8% | 49.1% | -3.3% |
| Unexpected Windfall | Instant | 4 | 5 | 47.6% | 51.1% | -3.5% |
| Teferi, Time Raveler | Legendary Planeswalker — Teferi | 3 | 5 | 45.8% | 50.0% | -4.2% |
| Indomitable Creativity | Sorcery | 3 | 13 | 44.7% | 49.9% | -5.2% |
| Remand | Instant | 2 | 6 | 44.0% | 49.6% | -5.6% |
| Prismari Command | Instant | 3 | 12 | 44.4% | 51.4% | -7.0% |
| Fire Prophecy | Instant | 2 | 6 | 44.1% | 51.2% | -7.1% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | 14 | 1.9% | 35.5% |
| Izzet Prowess | 6 | 0.6% | 33.3% |
| Azorius Omniscience | 4 | 0.6% | 35.0% |
| Esper Pixie | 2 | 0.1% | 53.6% |
| Dimir Bounce | 1 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.