Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | carolainjr | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Boros Convoke , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Oculus , Mono-Red Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Firebolt ranks #482 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 9%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Firebolt is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.
Recommended number of copies: 4
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 4.61 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.4%. Firebolt has a win rate of 60.0%, making it 26.6% better than other 1-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lava Spike | Sorcery — Arcane | 7 | 60.0% | 0 |
| Grim Lavamancer | Creature — Human Wizard | 10 | 57.6% | 0 |
| Skewer the Critics | Sorcery | 8 | 57.4% | 0 |
| Lava Dart | Instant | 5 | 57.3% | 0 |
| Incinerate | Instant | 9 | 56.5% | 0 |
| Wild Slash | Instant | 6 | 54.9% | 0 |
| Play with Fire | Instant | 6 | 54.3% | 0 |
| Laelia, the Blade Reforged | Legendary Creature — Spirit Warrior | 6 | 54.3% | 0 |
| Shock | Instant | 6 | 54.3% | 0 |
| Dragon's Rage Channeler | Creature — Human Shaman | 6 | 54.3% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Firebolt than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skewer the Critics | Sorcery | 3 | 5 | 67.6% | 60.3% | +7.3% |
| Burst Lightning | Instant | 1 | 8 | 63.6% | 56.9% | +6.7% |
| Pyrokinesis | Instant | 6 | 5 | 65.4% | 58.8% | +6.6% |
| Light Up the Stage | Sorcery | 3 | 7 | 64.3% | 57.7% | +6.5% |
| Grim Lavamancer | Creature — Human Wizard | 1 | 7 | 65.1% | 58.7% | +6.4% |
| Forked Bolt | Sorcery | 1 | 5 | 65.4% | 59.3% | +6.1% |
| Soul-Scar Mage | Creature — Human Wizard | 1 | 7 | 63.2% | 57.3% | +5.9% |
| Loyal Apprentice | Creature — Human Artificer | 2 | 6 | 64.7% | 58.9% | +5.8% |
| Bonecrusher Giant | Creature — Giant | 3 | 5 | 64.5% | 58.8% | +5.7% |
| Goblin Guide | Creature — Goblin Scout | 1 | 6 | 63.6% | 58.4% | +5.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | 13 | 3.0% | 48.9% |
| Izzet Prowess | 5 | 0.5% | 58.8% |
| Boros Convoke | 1 | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeskai Control | 1 | 0.3% | 37.5% |
| Jeskai Oculus | 1 | 0.1% | 25.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.