Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Abzan Pixie , Dimir Midrange , Esper Pixie , Mono Black Demons , Orzhov Midrange , Orzhov Pixie , Sultai Beanstalk , Sultai Control
Meta Performance Analysis
Crux of Fate ranks #3760 out of approximately 4236 cards in raw efficiency (top 89%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Black average: 51.1%
Performance compared to other Black cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Crux of Fate is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 2.33 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 5 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.6%. Crux of Fate has a win rate of 58.1%, making it 22.1% better than other 5-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratus Dancer | Creature — Djinn Monk | 9 | 52.4% | 1 |
| Silence the Believers | Instant | 6 | 45.4% | 0 |
| Dissolve | Instant | 16 | 42.5% | 1 |
| Dragonlord Silumgar | Legendary Creature — Elder Dragon | 18 | 41.8% | 1 |
| Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver | Legendary Planeswalker — Ashiok | 13 | 41.2% | 1 |
| Perilous Vault | Artifact | 5 | 40.2% | 0 |
| Virulent Plague | Enchantment | 7 | 39.6% | 0 |
| Bile Blight | Instant | 21 | 38.1% | 1 |
| Anticipate | Instant | 18 | 38.0% | 1 |
| Tasigur, the Golden Fang | Legendary Creature — Human Shaman | 17 | 37.8% | 1 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Crux of Fate than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disdainful Stroke | Instant | 2 | 5 | 69.0% | 58.3% | +10.7% |
| Ugin, the Spirit Dragon | Legendary Planeswalker — Ugin | 8 | 7 | 65.7% | 58.3% | +7.4% |
| Anticipate | Instant | 2 | 5 | 64.3% | 57.6% | +6.6% |
| Drown in Sorrow | Sorcery | 3 | 7 | 61.8% | 58.5% | +3.3% |
| Thoughtseize | Sorcery | 1 | 8 | 57.9% | 56.5% | +1.4% |
| Hero's Downfall | Instant | 3 | 9 | 58.3% | 58.1% | +0.2% |
| Dig Through Time | Instant | 8 | 7 | 55.6% | 56.1% | -0.6% |
| Silumgar, the Drifting Death | Legendary Creature — Dragon | 6 | 6 | 55.0% | 55.9% | -0.9% |
| Dissolve | Instant | 3 | 5 | 57.9% | 58.9% | -1.0% |
| Negate | Instant | 2 | 6 | 55.0% | 58.0% | -3.0% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esper Pixie | 22 | 1.2% | 30.3% |
| Dimir Midrange | 3 | 0.1% | 58.8% |
| Orzhov Pixie | 2 | 0.8% | 31.2% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 62.5% | |
| Sultai Control | 1 | 16.7% | 0.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.