Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Esper Pixie edoardo santelli 10-4 None
Esper Pixie junpei nakamura 8-4 None

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-4.4%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
60.0%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
0.0%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
11
decks
Tournament Results
2
1st place
3
top 8
Average Copies
1.5
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver ranks #3064 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 60%).

Game Impact Factor
55.05
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+5.70%

Multi average: 46.8%

Performance compared to other Multi cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver is an underperforming card in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 1

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
16.9
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.36x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 4.61 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 3 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver has a win rate of 50.7%, making it 6.8% better than other 3-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Dissolve Instant 5 58.0% 1
Anticipate Instant 6 49.0% 1
Dragonlord Ojutai Legendary Creature — Elder Dragon 7 46.8% 1
Silumgar's Scorn Instant 7 46.8% 1
Silumgar, the Drifting Death Legendary Creature — Dragon 7 46.8% 1
Dragonlord's Prerogative Instant 7 46.4% 1
Foul-Tongue Invocation Instant 7 45.9% 1
Ultimate Price Instant 6 45.6% 1
Thoughtseize Sorcery 8 45.4% 1
Dragonlord Silumgar Legendary Creature — Elder Dragon 6 45.2% 1

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Ugin, the Spirit Dragon Legendary Planeswalker — Ugin 8 8 60.0% 55.1% +4.9%
Anticipate Instant 2 6 58.1% 53.3% +4.8%
Silumgar, the Drifting Death Legendary Creature — Dragon 6 9 56.1% 51.8% +4.3%
Dissolve Instant 3 7 56.9% 53.0% +4.0%
Dig Through Time Instant 8 9 55.2% 52.4% +2.8%
Crux of Fate Sorcery 5 9 54.1% 51.7% +2.4%
Ultimate Price Instant 2 5 53.4% 51.2% +2.3%
Bile Blight Instant 2 10 52.6% 51.6% +1.0%
Tasigur, the Golden Fang Legendary Creature — Human Shaman 6 8 53.2% 52.3% +0.9%
Disdainful Stroke Instant 2 6 54.3% 53.8% +0.5%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Esper Pixie 13 0.7% 44.5%
Dimir Midrange 1 0.0% 80.0%
Sultai Beanstalk 1 10.0% 0.0%
Sultai Control 1 16.7% 0.0%
Sultai Dragons 1 11.1% 14.3%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.