Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | taiyo ishii | 6-2 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | antonio lucas longo | 6-2 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | nikolaus flamm | 6-2 | None |
| Mono-Red Aggro | cyprien tron | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Gruul Aggro , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Oculus , Mono-Red Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Alchemist's Gambit ranks #2837 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 55%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Alchemist's Gambit is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 3.80 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 3 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Alchemist's Gambit has a win rate of 58.2%, making it 22.6% better than other 3-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hullbreaker Horror | Creature — Kraken Horror | 12 | 62.7% | 2 |
| Memory Deluge | Instant | 10 | 59.7% | 2 |
| Silundi Vision | Instant | 9 | 58.2% | 1 |
| You See a Guard Approach | Instant | 8 | 56.8% | 0 |
| Thirst for Discovery | Instant | 6 | 54.6% | 1 |
| Saw It Coming | Instant | 11 | 53.3% | 0 |
| Smoldering Egg | Creature — Dragon Egg | 27 | 52.4% | 2 |
| Seismic Wave | Instant | 6 | 51.4% | 1 |
| Disdainful Stroke | Instant | 31 | 50.5% | 3 |
| Valorous Stance | Instant | 22 | 50.3% | 2 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Alchemist's Gambit than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silundi Vision | Instant | 3 | 7 | 75.6% | 58.4% | +17.1% |
| Memory Deluge | Instant | 4 | 9 | 69.6% | 57.2% | +12.4% |
| Hullbreaker Horror | Creature — Kraken Horror | 7 | 12 | 69.1% | 58.6% | +10.6% |
| Malevolent Hermit | Creature — Human Wizard | 2 | 6 | 68.4% | 58.5% | +9.9% |
| Negate | Instant | 2 | 21 | 65.3% | 57.3% | +8.0% |
| Show of Confidence | Instant | 2 | 20 | 63.8% | 56.1% | +7.6% |
| Shatterskull Smashing | Sorcery | 2 | 6 | 65.4% | 57.8% | +7.5% |
| Disdainful Stroke | Instant | 2 | 27 | 63.6% | 57.5% | +6.1% |
| Burning Hands | Instant | 2 | 6 | 65.5% | 59.6% | +5.9% |
| You See a Guard Approach | Instant | 1 | 8 | 63.3% | 57.4% | +5.9% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | 30 | 4.0% | 48.2% |
| Izzet Prowess | 16 | 1.6% | 42.8% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 7 | 1.6% | 40.0% |
| Gruul Aggro | 2 | 0.1% | 12.5% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.